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When will TRIPP be realized?

News | 2026/07/20 19:03

When will TRIPP be realized?

Timeline for the implementation of the TRIPP project

On July 17, negotiations between Lavrov and Bayramov took place in Moscow, resulting in the establishment of a schedule for consultations at the level of the Ministry of Foreign Affairs until 2027. At a joint press conference, the Russian Foreign Minister spoke about the feasibility of restarting the 3+3 format in the South Caucasus. On the same topic, the President of Azerbaijan expressed a positive opinion from the platform of the "global media forum" in occupied Shushi. The editorial of the opposition newspaper "Azadliq" of the Popular Front Party of Azerbaijan stated that "Ilham Aliyev continues to remain under the strong influence of Vladimir Putin." According to the author, Russia and Iran are against the "stability of the South Caucasus," and their "restoration of influence" leads the region to confrontation with the West. What discussions took place between Lavrov and Bayramov, experts from both sides have not yet expressed any opinion. Baku's "concerns" can be judged from a comprehensive publication by minval politika, whose author targeted France. In brief, Azerbaijani state media accuse France of intending to strengthen Armenia's negotiating positions by developing the infrastructure of Syunik and preventing the movement of the population. This assessment clearly indicates that Baku has not completely lost hope for "unimpeded" communication with Nakhchivan. Azerbaijan is apparently wary of directly opposing the United States on the legal regulations of the TRIPP project. Instead, Baku's semi-official media suggest that France's initiatives in Syunik "could lead to a French military presence on the border with Azerbaijan." It is beyond doubt that the legal regulations of communication in southern Syunik are being resolved at the political level, touching on issues of Armenia's sovereignty and territorial integrity. Moreover, it is probably no longer disputable that if this were to happen under the 9th point of the November document, Armenia would at least lose jurisdiction over Meghri. Aliyev is unlikely to go for an outright cancellation of last year's Washington agreements, but the topic of "unimpeded Azerbaijan-Nakhchivan communication" could become a bargaining chip with Moscow. There are two and a half years left until Trump's presidency ends. Will TRIPP be realized during this time?

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