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The World Cup sends prediction market volumes soaring to record highs

News | 2026/07/04 12:54

The World Cup sends prediction market volumes soaring to record highs

The FIFA World Cup boosts trading volumes on prediction markets

The 2026 FIFA World Cup was anticipated to be the largest gambling event in history, leading to increased trading volumes on prediction market platforms in June:

  • Prediction market platform Kalshi recorded over $30 billion in trading volume last month, while Polymarket hit a record high of $10.8 billion:
  • Even Rothera, which launched only in June, saw more than $2 billion in trading volume:

Kalshi saw over $31 billion in June, a more than 70% increase from May's total of $17.9 billion:

Polymarket's international event contract exchange set a new record high in monthly volume, exceeding $10.8 billion in June:

Team USA is set to play Belgium, with over $64 million traded on Kalshi and $122 million on Polymarket regarding the U.S. winning:

Rothera, a joint venture between Susquehanna International Group and Robinhood, recorded $2 billion in trading volume in June:

All platforms leaned into the World Cup to boost traffic:

Kalshi now has open interest above $1 billion, while Polymarket's is just under $400 million:

Asaf Meir, CEO of Solidus Labs, noted that the World Cup is a key moment for platforms:

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