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Most prediction market contracts have low volume

News | 2026/07/02 12:47

Most prediction market contracts have low volume

Low volumes in prediction markets pose risks for traders

A CNBC analysis found that roughly 70% of all closed markets saw under $10,000 in reported volume from 2021 to the end of May this year. Low-volume markets can be more volatile and costly for traders.

On the Polymarket platform, the majority of closed individual markets never surpassed $10,000 in reported volume. Read more here.

New traders can also be left vulnerable in low-volume markets because spreads between buying and selling can blow out:

Academics note that thin markets are less appealing to seasoned traders:

Bots dominate over 80% of volume in shallow markets:

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