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The Hormuz Shock Is Far From Over

News | 2026/08/11 20:00

The Hormuz Shock Is Far From Over

Shipping through the Hormuz Strait remains disrupted

Shipping through the Hormuz Strait remains severely disrupted, even as Iran and Oman reportedly move toward a deal. Brent crude futures are trading near $85 a barrel as markets price in the possibility of reopening the maritime chokepoint:

UBS’s supply chain stress index has fallen from its June peak but remains elevated compared to pre-conflict levels. Shipping costs are rising again, and oil and gas flows are still constrained:

If the Strait of Hormuz reopens, energy, freight, and inventory disruptions could persist for months.

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