Bearish · confidence: 81% · scenarios: 29 / 6 / 65 (bull / neutral / bear)
PEPE carries a bearish model bias with 81% confidence, while scenario probabilities stand at 65% bearish, 29% bullish, and 6% neutral. The token trades at $0.00000333, up 1.4351% over 24 hours but down 3.985% over 7 days. Death crosses on the 1h and 1d charts contrast with a 4h golden cross, although the 4h SMA50 slope remains negative.
PEPE is trading around $0.00000333 with a market cap of $1,399,361,244 and 24-hour volume of $262,523,505. The token remains 88.1312% below its all-time high, while still standing 5932.7545% above its all-time low. That combination suggests a large long-term rebound from the bottom, but also a structure that is still far from prior peak levels.
Technical picture
On the daily timeframe, price is below the EMA20 at $0.0000034647, but slightly above the EMA50 at $0.0000032903 and EMA100 at $0.0000032303. At the same time, a death cross remains in place because the SMA50 is below the SMA200. Daily RSI is 46.78, showing mildly soft momentum, while the MACD histogram is negative. Bollinger %B sits at 0.1703, placing price near the lower portion of the range.
On the 4-hour chart, there is a golden cross because the SMA50 is above the SMA200, yet the SMA50 slope is still negative at -0.84684%. RSI is 41.24 and remains below the midpoint, which keeps a bearish tone intact. On the 1-hour chart, the setup is also cautious: a death cross, a negative SMA50 slope of -0.441106%, and an up move occurring on weak volume versus average.
Support and resistance
In the short term, price faces a dense resistance cluster. Nearby 1-hour zones include $0.00000334-$0.00000337, then $0.00000340-$0.00000344, and $0.00000353-$0.00000357. If price can stabilize above those areas, the next 1-hour resistance zones appear at $0.00000359-$0.00000363 and $0.00000367-$0.00000371.
On the downside, the key 4-hour support sits at $0.00000277-$0.00000285, while the main daily support is at $0.00000264-$0.00000288. Intermediate daily supports are located at $0.00000310-$0.00000328 and $0.00000292-$0.00000299. To the upside, the main daily resistance stands at $0.00000377-$0.00000399.
Volatility and scenarios
Daily ATR is 7.8612%, and weekly ATR is 22.2726%, showing that volatility remains elevated. If PEPE holds above the daily $0.00000310-$0.00000328 support area and clears the $0.00000344-$0.00000363 resistance region, a stabilization or modest recovery scenario could strengthen. If those support zones fail, the market may retest $0.00000264-$0.00000288 and $0.00000277-$0.00000285.
By model estimate, bearish probability is 65%, bullish probability is 29%, and neutral probability is 6%. The risk score is 75 and the trend score is 38, a combination that points to a structure still vulnerable to seller pressure.
Broader market context
Across the wider market, BTC dominance is 58.2575% and BTC structure is labeled distribution, while ETH dominance is 11.5139% with an accumulation structure. Over the last 30 days, BTC is up 22.5760%, PEPE is up 24.7191%, and alt vs BTC over 30 days is 2.1431. That may indicate some relative strength over the past month, but PEPE's internal technical structure does not yet fully confirm a sustained bullish reversal.
Exchanges
- Binance — PEPEUSDT
- MEXC — PEPEUSDT
- OKX — PEPE-USDT
- Bybit — PEPEUSDT
Market snapshot
| Price | 0 |
|---|---|
| 24h % | 1.44 |
| 7d % | -3.99 |
| Market cap | 1,399,361,244 |
| Volume 24h | 262,523,505 |
| Rank | 60 |
Scores
| Technical | 44 |
|---|---|
| Momentum | 48 |
| Trend | 38 |
| Volume | 43 |
| Fundamental | 59 |
| Market strength | 45 |
| Risk | 75 |
| Opportunity | 45 |
Signals
- Death cross / SMA50 below SMA200 (1h, bearish)
- Falling SMA50 (1h, bearish)
- Up move on weak volume (1h, bearish)
- Golden cross / SMA50 above SMA200 (4h, bullish)
- Falling SMA50 (4h, bearish)
- RSI below midpoint (4h, bearish)
- Up move on weak volume (4h, bearish)
- Death cross / SMA50 below SMA200 (1d, bearish)
- Rising SMA50 (1d, bullish)
- Up move on weak volume (1d, bearish)
- Falling SMA50 (1w, bearish)
Support / resistance
- Major resistance 1: 0 – 0 (1h)
- Resistance 2: 0 – 0 (1h)
- Resistance 3: 0 – 0 (1h)
- Resistance 4: 0 – 0 (1h)
- Resistance 5: 0 – 0 (1h)
- Resistance 6: 0 – 0 (1h)
- Resistance 7: 0 – 0 (1h)
- Resistance 8: 0 – 0 (1h)
- Major support 1: 0 – 0 (4h)
- Support 2: 0 – 0 (4h)
Market context
| BTC.D | 58.26 |
|---|---|
| BTC 30d % | 22.58 |
| Alt vs BTC 30d | 2.14 |
| BTC structure | distribution |
| ETH structure | accumulation |
Where to trade
This is informational analysis, not investment advice and not a profit guarantee. Crypto assets are high risk; past data does not guarantee future results.
