Bearish · confidence: 79% · scenarios: 29 / 6 / 65 (bull / neutral / bear)
Aleph Zero (AZERO) is priced at $0.00793587. The asset is down 2.5852% over 24 hours and 19.1957% over 7 days. The model view is bearish, with probabilities at 65% bearish, 29% bullish, and 6% neutral, with confidence at 79.
Aleph Zero (AZERO) is trading around $0.00793587, with a market cap of $2399124 and a fully diluted valuation of $4126651. Its 24-hour volume is $85186, pointing to relatively light trading activity for its size.
Technical picture
On the 1-hour chart, a bearish death cross is active, with the SMA50 ($0.008056) below the SMA200. At the same time, the 1h Bollinger squeeze suggests compressed volatility, so a range expansion may follow. On the 4-hour and 1-day charts, there is a golden cross, but the SMA50 slope is negative on both timeframes, which weakens the bullish implication. On the weekly chart, a death cross and a sharply negative SMA50 slope of -13.525753% continue to reflect broader downside pressure.
Indicators
- RSI reads 46.00 on 1h, 40.36 on 4h, and 45.70 on 1d. These levels are below or near the midpoint, suggesting momentum is still not convincingly strong.
- The 1d MACD histogram is negative at -0.0000701, while the 1h and 4h histograms are slightly positive. That may indicate a short-term stabilization attempt, but not a confirmed trend reversal.
- ATR% stands at 13.20% on 1d and 42.93% on 1w, highlighting elevated volatility and a higher-risk trading environment.
Key levels
The nearest 1d major resistance sits at $0.00805-$0.008674, very close above the current price. On the downside, 4h major support is at $0.007185-$0.007400, while 1d major support is at $0.006042-$0.007185. If price can hold the 4h support band at $0.007636-$0.007887, a short-term stabilization scenario could develop. If that zone fails, price may revisit lower daily support areas.
Market context
BTC dominance is 58.7062% and ETH dominance is 11.2985%, while both BTC and ETH are marked as being in a strong_uptrend. Meanwhile, alt vs BTC over 30 days is -9.8593%, showing a difficult backdrop for altcoins. AZERO is down -3.6087% over 30 days, while BTC is up 6.2506% over the same period. That relative weakness helps explain why the bearish scenario remains the base case for now.
Market snapshot
| Price | 0.0079 |
|---|---|
| 24h % | -2.59 |
| 7d % | -19.2 |
| Market cap | 2,399,124 |
| Volume 24h | 85,186 |
| Rank | 2266 |
Scores
| Technical | 42 |
|---|---|
| Momentum | 52 |
| Trend | 31 |
| Volume | 44 |
| Fundamental | 39 |
| Market strength | 51 |
| Risk | 80 |
| Opportunity | 43 |
Signals
- Death cross / SMA50 below SMA200 (1h, bearish)
- Falling SMA50 (1h, bearish)
- Bollinger squeeze (1h, neutral)
- Golden cross / SMA50 above SMA200 (4h, bullish)
- Falling SMA50 (4h, bearish)
- RSI below midpoint (4h, bearish)
- Golden cross / SMA50 above SMA200 (1d, bullish)
- Falling SMA50 (1d, bearish)
- Death cross / SMA50 below SMA200 (1w, bearish)
- Falling SMA50 (1w, bearish)
Support / resistance
- Major support 1: 0.0073 – 0.0074 (1h)
- Support 2: 0.0071 – 0.0071 (1h)
- Major resistance 1: 0.0088 – 0.0089 (1h)
- Resistance 2: 0.0083 – 0.0084 (1h)
- Resistance 3: 0.0082 – 0.0082 (1h)
- Resistance 4: 0.0085 – 0.0086 (1h)
- Resistance 5: 0.0088 – 0.0088 (1h)
- Resistance 6: 0.0084 – 0.0085 (1h)
- Major support 1: 0.0072 – 0.0074 (4h)
- Support 2: 0.0076 – 0.0079 (4h)
Market context
| BTC.D | 58.71 |
|---|---|
| BTC 30d % | 6.25 |
| Alt vs BTC 30d | -9.86 |
| BTC structure | strong_uptrend |
| ETH structure | strong_uptrend |
Where to trade
This is informational analysis, not investment advice and not a profit guarantee. Crypto assets are high risk; past data does not guarantee future results.
