Strong Bearish · confidence: 92% · scenarios: 21 / 6 / 73 (bull / neutral / bear)
Aleph Zero (AZERO) is priced at 0.00749494, up 1.4452% over 24 hours but down 11.9782% over 7 days. The model outlook is Strong Bearish with 92 confidence, while probabilities stand at 73% bearish, 21% bullish, and 6% neutral. Bearish signals such as death crosses and bearish MA alignment appear on 1h, 4h, and 1w charts, while the daily chart still shows a golden cross but RSI remains below 50.
Aleph Zero (AZERO) is trading near 0.00749494 with a market cap of 2,265,826 and 24-hour volume of 72,728. Over the last 24 hours, the token gained 1.4452%, but the 7-day change remains negative at -11.9782%. The asset is still down about -99.7578% from its all-time high of 3.09, while standing about +95.5424% above its all-time low of 0.0038329.
Technical picture
The short-term structure remains weak. On the 1-hour chart, price is 0.007497, RSI is 46.61, and SMA50 is below SMA200, producing a death cross. The SMA50 slope is also negative at -1.047139%, which may reflect fading short-term trend strength. MACD histogram on 1h is positive, but only modestly, so this may suggest a limited rebound rather than a confirmed reversal.
On the 4-hour chart, the bearish structure is clearer. There is both a death cross and bearish MA alignment, with price below the SMA20<50<100<200 sequence. RSI is 41.93, meaning momentum is still below the 50 midpoint. The SMA50 slope is also negative at -1.44262%. That combination could mean recovery attempts continue to face selling pressure.
The daily chart is more mixed. It still shows a golden cross, with SMA50 above SMA200, and the SMA50 slope is positive at +1.065283%. However, price remains below the 20, 50, and 200 EMAs, while daily RSI sits at 39.57, showing that buyers have not regained control. Bollinger percent_b is around 0.068, placing price near the lower part of the band, which may point to weakness, though not necessarily an immediate upside reversal.
On the weekly chart, the broader trend still leans bearish. A death cross is present, bearish MA alignment remains intact, and the SMA50 slope is sharply negative at -14.716888%. Weekly RSI is 44.42, so longer-term momentum has not shifted into a stronger bullish state.
Support and resistance
The nearest major 4h support sits at 0.007185-0.007285. On the daily chart, additional support zones appear at 0.006441-0.007165 and 0.005669-0.00635. The broader weekly major support lies at 0.00382-0.005837. If price loses the nearest support area, the market could test those lower demand zones.
On the upside, the nearest major daily resistance is at 0.00805-0.008674. The main 4h resistance zone stands at 0.008552-0.008766, while the key 1h resistance is 0.008849-0.0089. A move back above those areas could help soften the short-term bearish structure. Beyond that, additional resistance zones include 0.009333-0.009489, 0.009574-0.009712, and the daily 0.010232-0.01065 area.
Market context
In the broader market, BTC dominance stands at 58.4907% and BTC structure is marked as distribution. ETH dominance is 11.3141%, with ETH structure marked as accumulation. Over the last 30 days, altcoins have underperformed BTC, with alt_vs_btc_30d at -35.6801%. During the same period, BTC gained 21.0091% while AZERO fell 14.6711%. That backdrop could continue to limit recovery potential for AZERO unless broader altcoin conditions improve.
Scenario view
The current model view remains strong bearish. In a bearish scenario, price may stay capped below 0.00805-0.008674 and drift back toward 0.007185-0.007285 or lower daily support zones. In a neutral scenario, AZERO could stabilize around current levels and move sideways between support and nearby resistance. A more constructive bullish scenario would become more credible only if price reclaims 0.00805-0.008674 and holds above that area, which could ease the short-term bearish structure.
Market snapshot
| Price | 0.0075 |
|---|---|
| 24h % | 1.45 |
| 7d % | -11.98 |
| Market cap | 2,265,826 |
| Volume 24h | 72,728 |
| Rank | 2199 |
Scores
| Technical | 42 |
|---|---|
| Momentum | 44 |
| Trend | 35 |
| Volume | 42 |
| Fundamental | 41 |
| Market strength | 32 |
| Risk | 68 |
| Opportunity | 39 |
Signals
- Death cross / SMA50 below SMA200 (1h, bearish)
- Falling SMA50 (1h, bearish)
- Death cross / SMA50 below SMA200 (4h, bearish)
- Bearish MA alignment (4h, bearish)
- Falling SMA50 (4h, bearish)
- RSI below midpoint (4h, bearish)
- Golden cross / SMA50 above SMA200 (1d, bullish)
- Rising SMA50 (1d, bullish)
- RSI below midpoint (1d, bearish)
- Death cross / SMA50 below SMA200 (1w, bearish)
- Bearish MA alignment (1w, bearish)
- Falling SMA50 (1w, bearish)
Support / resistance
- Major resistance 1: 0.0088 – 0.0089 (1h)
- Resistance 2: 0.0084 – 0.0085 (1h)
- Resistance 3: 0.0085 – 0.0086 (1h)
- Resistance 4: 0.0088 – 0.0088 (1h)
- Resistance 5: 0.0087 – 0.0087 (1h)
- Resistance 6: 0.0084 – 0.0084 (1h)
- Resistance 7: 0.0083 – 0.0084 (1h)
- Resistance 8: 0.009 – 0.009 (1h)
- Major support 1: 0.0072 – 0.0073 (4h)
- Major resistance 1: 0.0086 – 0.0088 (4h)
Market context
| BTC.D | 58.49 |
|---|---|
| BTC 30d % | 21.01 |
| Alt vs BTC 30d | -35.68 |
| BTC structure | distribution |
| ETH structure | accumulation |
Where to trade
This is informational analysis, not investment advice and not a profit guarantee. Crypto assets are high risk; past data does not guarantee future results.
