Strong Bearish · confidence: 92% · scenarios: 16 / 6 / 78 (bull / neutral / bear)
AUKI is trading at $0.00432664. The token is up 1.89% over 24 hours, but down 6.39% over 7 days and still 92.86% below its all-time high. The model currently labels the setup Strong Bearish, with a 78% probability assigned to the bearish scenario. Daily and weekly structure remains weak, although 1h and 4h metrics show signs of short-term stabilization.
Auki (AUKI) is categorized under Artificial Intelligence (AI). Its market cap stands at $21,345,444, while fully diluted valuation is $43,224,964. Circulating supply is about 4.93 billion tokens, with total supply near 9.99 billion and a max supply of 10 billion. The 24-hour volume is relatively small at $35,024, which may limit the durability of price moves.
Technical picture
On the daily timeframe, AUKI is trading below all major SMAs: SMA20 at 0.0044601, SMA50 at 0.0046128, SMA100 at 0.00491262, and SMA200 at 0.006288635. That confirms the bearish MA alignment noted in the signals. A daily death cross also remains in place, with SMA50 below SMA200, while the SMA50 slope is negative at -1.598638%.
On the weekly chart, RSI is 39.85, which is below the midpoint and points to continued weakness in the broader structure. The weekly SMA50 slope is -21.257679%, reinforcing the idea of persistent downside pressure. At the same time, the weekly MACD histogram is still positive, but only slightly, so this may reflect slowing downside momentum rather than a confirmed reversal.
Short term, the setup looks somewhat firmer. The 1h RSI is 57.30 and the 4h RSI is 53.26, both above 50. MACD histograms on 1h and 4h are positive, which may suggest a local rebound attempt. However, both 1h and 4h still show death crosses, so the bounce currently looks more like a countertrend move than a trend change.
Support and resistance
Nearest 1h support zones are located at 0.00418–0.004265 and 0.00405–0.004114. On 4h, the main support sits at 0.004169–0.004338, while the major daily support zone spans 0.00401–0.004455. As long as price holds near this area, the market may continue trying to stabilize, but stronger volume would be needed for a more convincing recovery signal.
The nearest 1h resistance is 0.004304–0.004348, which is very close to the current price. Above that, the next zones are 0.00438–0.004443, 0.004531–0.004597, and 0.00468–0.00475. On 4h, the more important resistance area is 0.004565–0.004714. If price fails to hold above these levels, the bearish structure may remain intact.
Volatility and risk
The risk score is 81, while market strength is only 24, highlighting a high-risk and relatively weak asset profile. Daily ATR% is 12.61%, and weekly ATR% is 39.60%, showing elevated volatility across both short- and medium-term horizons. Weekly historical volatility at 233.74 further underlines the possibility of sharp swings.
Daily and weekly signals also flag an up move on weak volume, meaning price rose while volume stayed below average. That may indicate the recent improvement still lacks broad participation and has not yet confirmed a stronger reversal attempt.
Market context
In the broader market, BTC dominance is 58.89%, BTC structure is marked as downtrend, and ETH structure is labeled strong_uptrend. The alt_vs_btc_30d reading is -25.31%, pointing to weak altcoin performance versus BTC over the last month. Against that backdrop, AUKI is down 1.94% over 30 days, while BTC is up 23.37% over the same period, which may suggest relative underperformance versus market leaders.
Scenario view
The Strong Bearish label and 92 confidence reflect the fact that higher timeframes still show a weak structure. In a bearish scenario, price may remain inside the broad 0.00401–0.004455 support area or retest 0.00405–0.004114 if nearby resistance continues to cap rebounds.
A neutral or mildly bullish scenario may start to gain traction only if price can hold above 0.004304–0.004348 and then challenge the 0.004565–0.004714 resistance zone. Until the daily structure improves and volume strengthens, that path appears less likely.
- Price: $0.00432664
- 24h change: +1.89%
- 7d change: -6.39%
- Distance from ATH: -92.86%
- Bearish probability: 78%
- Risk score: 81
Market snapshot
| Price | 0.0043 |
|---|---|
| 24h % | 1.89 |
| 7d % | -6.39 |
| Market cap | 21,345,444 |
| Volume 24h | 35,024 |
| Rank | 815 |
Scores
| Technical | 33 |
|---|---|
| Momentum | 51 |
| Trend | 22 |
| Volume | 42 |
| Fundamental | 42 |
| Market strength | 24 |
| Risk | 81 |
| Opportunity | 35 |
Signals
- Death cross / SMA50 below SMA200 (1h, bearish)
- RSI above midpoint (1h, bullish)
- Death cross / SMA50 below SMA200 (4h, bearish)
- Falling SMA50 (4h, bearish)
- Death cross / SMA50 below SMA200 (1d, bearish)
- Bearish MA alignment (1d, bearish)
- Falling SMA50 (1d, bearish)
- Up move on weak volume (1d, bearish)
- Falling SMA50 (1w, bearish)
- RSI below midpoint (1w, bearish)
- Up move on weak volume (1w, bearish)
Support / resistance
- Major support 1: 0.0041 – 0.0041 (1h)
- Support 2: 0.0042 – 0.0043 (1h)
- Major resistance 1: 0.0045 – 0.0046 (1h)
- Resistance 2: 0.0043 – 0.0043 (1h)
- Resistance 3: 0.0047 – 0.0048 (1h)
- Resistance 4: 0.0044 – 0.0044 (1h)
- Resistance 5: 0.005 – 0.005 (1h)
- Resistance 6: 0.0053 – 0.0053 (1h)
- Major support 1: 0.0042 – 0.0043 (4h)
- Support 2: 0.004 – 0.0041 (4h)
Market context
| BTC.D | 58.89 |
|---|---|
| BTC 30d % | 23.37 |
| Alt vs BTC 30d | -25.31 |
| BTC structure | downtrend |
| ETH structure | strong_uptrend |
Where to trade
This is informational analysis, not investment advice and not a profit guarantee. Crypto assets are high risk; past data does not guarantee future results.
